Nawaz’s narrative completely adopted by PDM, bound to lead to military takeover supported by China due to Tibet and united-J&K. By Hem Raj Jain


President of the Tibetan government-in-exile at White House has fundamentally changed the entire strategic scenario of the Indo-Pak-China region (ii)- Military takeover in Pakistan will serve the purpose of Chinese democracy against Western democracy in the region.

As mentioned by former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif [in his speech of September 20 at ‘All Party Conference’ (APC) and his later speeches at Jalsa (public meeting) of ‘Pakistan Democratic Movement’ (PDM) at Gujranwala and Quetta] the Pak military installed Imran government not only by rigging 2018 elections but also by manipulating higher judiciary of Pakistan through (as per national & international media) the judicial coup (by which through half cooked judicial proceedings PM was removed from power and then debarred him from contesting elections and from holding party positions). Nawaz has also been accusing higher judiciary of overlooking the illegal & highhanded activities of NAB (National Accountability Bureau) in the name of prosecution which is nothing short of persecution where criminal charges against  ruling parties (Including foreign funding case against Imran’s party, the PTI) is not taken up seriously by NAB but opposition leaders (Shariff’s family, Zardari etc) are kept in jail (without proper trial).

Previously only Nawaz was taking the names of Army Chief Gen Bajwa and ISI chief Gen Faiz as complicit in said unconstitutionally installing Imran government but on November 22 at Peshawar Jalsa the entire leadership of the PDM has taken off their gloves and has come out openly against Pak military on this matter. This has created a situation in Pakistan where military takeover is highly likely under the pressure of China, as mentioned below:-

(1)- Nawaz the leader from crucial Punjab (which matters the most in Pakistan) should understand that the PDM is moving towards creating Maulana Fazal ur Rehman (the Chief of PDM and JUI-F) as Sunni-Ayatollah. Because only a well-organized force can take-on Pak military (which is presently the only well-organized force in Pakistan) as happened in Iran where Ayatollah (due to well organized Islamic forces) dislodged the Shah government in 1979.

(2)- In theocratic Pakistan too, only Islam will provide such well-organized force to the PDM / Maulana. How much Islam can provide ground force to a religious leader in Pakistan is evident from the case of Khadim Hussain Rizvi the head of ‘Tehreek-e-Labaik Pakistan’ (TLP) who in such a short period since 2011 - [when during regime of PPP he supported killing by religious fanatic of Punjab governor who sympathized with Asia Bibi, a Christian women, who was awarded death sentence (overturned by SCP) for blasphemy, then in 2017 when he forced PML-N government to restore the electoral declaration form about ‘Khatme Nabuwat’ (Prophet Mohammad being the last Prophet] - that now during PTI government Khadim Rizvi succeeded on November 15, 2020 in getting written agreement (after sit-in at Islamabad) from Ministers that France will be punished through legislation by Pak Parliament (by way of severing diplomatic relations) if France does not apologize for alleged desecration of Prophet Mohammad by showing His photos on government building.

(3)- Now when Khadim Rizvi has died on this November 20 (where unprecedented large crowd assembled for his burial in Lahore and Maulana remembered him with respect at this Peshawar Jalsa) this huge public support of TLP (on religious issues) can easily be used / mobilized by Maulana (if not by again invoking said France controversy) then through Kashmir issue which Maulana is consistently raising in the Jalsas of the PDM including in Peshawar Jalsa where he again criticized Imran government of neglecting the suffering of Muslim Kashmiris at the hands of Hindu majority India and of selling Kashmir to India (even by promising to make Gilgit-Baltistan as 5th province of Pakistan which as per Maulana tantamount to damaging the Kashmir cause).

(4)- Though what Maulana said after launch of the PDM need not be taken at its face value that - “ If Pakistan military doesn’t mend its way then it will face the same humiliating fate as the military of USA & NATO has faced in Afghanistan at the hands of the militant Jihadis” - but Nawaz should not remain in any delusion. The talk of no-border between KPK & Afghanistan done from the podium of Quetta Jalsa and Pashtuns of KPK & Afghanistan as one people said from the podium at Peshawar Jalsa should make Nawaz to understand that though Punjab is the biggest province of Pakistan, Maulana knows that when push comes to shove it will be only militant Jihadis who will win the fight for the PDM against Pakistan military (the fight, similar to what Ayatollah led against Shah of Iran before and up to 1979) and Maulana can get such militant Jihadis mainly from the rugged so-called tribal belts of Balochistan and KPK porous with Afghanistan (where Maulana has his main support base).

(5)- As far said judicial outreach, the PDM & Maulana are not raising it at this moment because these can be set-right (once Imran government goes and the PDM comes in power after fresh elections) by fresh writ petitions in Supreme Court and through fresh legislations by Parliament.

(6)-  In such seemingly inevitable confrontation between the PDM led by Maulana and Pak military two elements will prefer military take over: -

(i)- China knows that the CPEC / Gwadar port and related various interests can be protected only by Pak military. China & Pakistan both say that these projects will immensely benefit the people of Pakistan. Hence China will see to it that in case of the said confrontation of the PDM led by Maulana with Pak military, Pakistan is taken over by military as per the principle of Chinese democracy which claims to benefit the people of Asia the most (as happened in China which progressed hugely under authoritarian regime whereas democracies like India, Pakistan etc in Asia has remained economically pathetic for majority of its economically humble people).

(ii)- Pak military will never give-up pre-dominance in the political life of Pakistan because of India factor. Unless the Kashmir problem is resolved (through plebiscite and dual citizenship for displaceds of partition for eliminating communalism form Indian subcontinent) the Pak military will always raise the Indian bogey [Though it is a different matter that India will never take Pakistani side of J&K (including Gilgit - Baltistan) because given the choice Hindus don’t want to live with Muslims that was the reason Gandhi (who used to say ‘Pakistan can be created only on my dead body’) allowed partition of India when (as per Maulana Azad) Patel told Gandhi ‘it will be easier to manage Hindu India than Hindu - Muslim India’. This is the reason India did not assimilate Bangladesh also in 1971].

(7)- There is one more reason which is a question of life & death for China & Pakistan hence they would keep the predominance of Pak military in Pakistan. Earlier, as mentioned, it was a ‘fabricated fear of India due to the Kashmir problem’ but this bogey of India has now become a real threat especially after November 20 when Dr Lobsang Sangay, president of the Tibetan government-in-exile was invited to the White House to meet the newly-appointed US Special Coordinator for Tibetan Issues, Robert Destro.



(8)- As per the CTA (Central Tibetan Administration) at Dharamshala, Himachal Pradesh in India - “In the last 6 decades, the CTA head of was denied entry to the US State Department and White House; the logic for both denials was that the US government does not recognize the Tibetan government in exile. Friday’s visit amounts to an acknowledgement of both the democratic system of the CTA and its political head”. - This has created an unprecedented threat for China & Pakistan because now Pakistan side of J&K (especially Gilgit-Baltistan) will be seriously claimed by India, even militarily, under the pressure of its ally, the USA (Because Tibet government-in-exile will not go to White House unless some fundamental change in US-policy towards Tibet is assured to it hence whether Trump remains in White House or not now it will be difficult for the USA to treat Tibet as usual).

Therefore the entire world will watch the former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif (the leader of dominant party of Punjab in the PDM) with holden breath as to where the situation will be allowed to go in Pakistan especially when the PDM has only one chance of success against Pak military namely the mobilization of Jihadi forces by Maulana whereas China will never allow the loss of predominance of Pak military in the interest of protecting not only CPEC / Gwadar port but also Tibet.  

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